Ratchet and Repair
Indonesia 2026–2030: a scenario framework with quantified triggers
Indonesia to 2030: a monitorable framework of scenario probabilities, 12 indicator thresholds, event triggers and falsification tests.
Gary Dean
Indonesia 2026–2030: a scenario framework with quantified triggers
Indonesia to 2030: a monitorable framework of scenario probabilities, 12 indicator thresholds, event triggers and falsification tests.
The Orde Baru relaunches on Serangan Island, Bali
Bali's Serangan Island: an international financial centre rising on reclaimed land tangled in New Order dynasties, tax havens and mangrove destruction.
Indonesia, August 2026: current conditions and scenarios to 2030
Indonesia's 2026 crisis: record-low rupiah, disputed GDP data, and a state reasserting control via Danantara, capital controls and export monopolies.
Prabowo Subianto and the New Order Restoration
How Prabowo's New Order military formation shapes Indonesia's 2025-26 institutions: Kopassus, the 1998 abductions, Danantara and Suharto's hero decree.