Ratchet and Repair
Indonesia 2026–2030: a scenario framework with quantified triggers
Indonesia to 2030: a monitorable framework of scenario probabilities, 12 indicator thresholds, event triggers and falsification tests.
Gary Dean
Indonesia 2026–2030: a scenario framework with quantified triggers
Indonesia to 2030: a monitorable framework of scenario probabilities, 12 indicator thresholds, event triggers and falsification tests.
The Orde Baru relaunches on Serangan Island, Bali
Bali's Serangan Island: an international financial centre rising on reclaimed land tangled in New Order dynasties, tax havens and mangrove destruction.
Indonesia, August 2026: current conditions and scenarios to 2030
Indonesia's 2026 crisis: record-low rupiah, disputed GDP data, and a state reasserting control via Danantara, capital controls and export monopolies.
An open letter to my friends and clients in Indonesia.
Indonesia's SMEs face pandemic fallout. Gary Dean urges consolidation, market pivots, and strategic responses to survive the post-COVID economy.
A model development path?
How Singapore's FDI-driven industrialisation compares to Taiwan and South Korea's approach, and what it reveals about technology transfer and innovation.
From a Western perspective
Examining the 1997 East Asian crisis: how Western neoliberal assumptions clashed with Asian collectivist business and state-capital ties.
in comparison to South Korea and Taiwan
Comparing Indonesia, South Korea and Taiwan: how patrimonialism, Confucian values and education shaped divergent economic development paths.
until 1870
How trade shaped Southeast Asia from Srivijaya and Malacca to European colonialism, transforming societies and politics before 1870.
How financial globalisation and neoliberal ideology erode nation-state sovereignty, policy autonomy and territorial governance.
a review
A critical review of Marx's Capital on capitalism's origins, weighing feudal breakdown and wage labour against his prophetic voice.
Analisis risiko pembangunan PLTN di Semenanjung Muria, Jawa dan alternatif energi terbarukan seperti geotermis dan gas alam untuk Indonesia.