Articles/Essays/Notes

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article 26 Aug 2026

An Enclave for the Super Rich?

The Orde Baru reboots on Serangan Island, Bali

Bali's Serangan Island: an international financial centre rising on reclaimed land tangled in New Order dynasties, tax havens and mangrove destruction.

essay 17 Aug 2026

Ratchet and Repair

Indonesia 2026–2030: a scenario framework with quantified triggers

Indonesia to 2030: a monitorable framework of scenario probabilities, 12 indicator thresholds, event triggers and falsification tests.

essay 16 Aug 2026

The Return of the Single Door

Indonesia, August 2026: current conditions and scenarios to 2030

Indonesia's 2026 crisis: record-low rupiah, disputed GDP data, and a state reasserting control via Danantara, capital controls and export monopolies.

article 30 May 2020

Indonesia 2020: Consolidate, and Respond

An open letter to my friends and clients in Indonesia.

Indonesia's SMEs face pandemic fallout. Gary Dean urges consolidation, market pivots, and strategic responses to survive the post-COVID economy.

essay 1 Apr 2000

The role of FDI in the development of Singapore

A model development path?

How Singapore's FDI-driven industrialisation compares to Taiwan and South Korea's approach, and what it reveals about technology transfer and innovation.

essay 1 Oct 1999

East Asia and the Roots of the Economic Crisis

From a Western perspective

Examining the 1997 East Asian crisis: how Western neoliberal assumptions clashed with Asian collectivist business and state-capital ties.

essay 1 Sep 1999

Indonesia's Economic Development

in comparison to South Korea and Taiwan

Comparing Indonesia, South Korea and Taiwan: how patrimonialism, Confucian values and education shaped divergent economic development paths.

essay 1 Oct 1998

Globalisation and the Nation-State

How financial globalisation and neoliberal ideology erode nation-state sovereignty, policy autonomy and territorial governance.