Articles/Essays/Notes

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essay 17 Aug 2026

Ratchet and Repair

Indonesia 2026–2030: a scenario framework with quantified triggers

Indonesia to 2030: a monitorable framework of scenario probabilities, 12 indicator thresholds, event triggers and falsification tests.

article 17 Aug 2026

Waiting for the Super Rich

The Orde Baru relaunches on Serangan Island, Bali

Bali's Serangan Island: an international financial centre rising on reclaimed land tangled in New Order dynasties, tax havens and mangrove destruction.

essay 16 Aug 2026

The Return of the Single Door

Indonesia, August 2026: current conditions and scenarios to 2030

Indonesia's 2026 crisis: record-low rupiah, disputed GDP data, and a state reasserting control via Danantara, capital controls and export monopolies.

article 30 May 2020

Indonesia 2020: Consolidate, and Respond

An open letter to my friends and clients in Indonesia.

Indonesia's SMEs face pandemic fallout. Gary Dean urges consolidation, market pivots, and strategic responses to survive the post-COVID economy.

essay 1 Apr 2000

The role of FDI in the development of Singapore

A model development path?

How Singapore's FDI-driven industrialisation compares to Taiwan and South Korea's approach, and what it reveals about technology transfer and innovation.

essay 1 Oct 1999

East Asia and the Roots of the Economic Crisis

From a Western perspective

Examining the 1997 East Asian crisis: how Western neoliberal assumptions clashed with Asian collectivist business and state-capital ties.

essay 1 Sep 1999

Indonesia's Economic Development

in comparison to South Korea and Taiwan

Comparing Indonesia, South Korea and Taiwan: how patrimonialism, Confucian values and education shaped divergent economic development paths.

essay 1 Oct 1998

Globalisation and the Nation-State

How financial globalisation and neoliberal ideology erode nation-state sovereignty, policy autonomy and territorial governance.